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Thursday, October 31, 2013

Fantasy Studs 'N Duds - Week 8


Each week I will give you any injury news I can find that may affect your FFL team. And I'll tell you who I think the Studs 'N Duds were. Two things to remember:  positions are QB RB WR & TE. I'm not bothering with Kickers or Defenses. Deal with it. As for the math, using a basic FFL scoring system that includes PPR, I'll tell you who really over shot their projected points and who really blew it. These are not necessarily the "hot" names in the NFL, but they are guys who the experts didn't expect to play this way and it could be a trend worth watching for both owners and waiver wire pickups.


Injuries:

RS Travis Benjamin, CLE - torn ACL right knee, IR  
     (RS = Return Specialist) 
WR Ryan Broyles, DET - ruptured rt Achilles tendon, IR
WR Mike Williams, TB - hamstring, IR 
WR Brandon Gibson, MIA - ruptured patella tendon, IR

QB Robert Griffin III, WAS - knee, removed from game, purely precautionary 
TE Jimmy Graham, NO - partial tear of plantar fascia 
QB Michael Vick, PHI - aggravated hamstring injury 
TE Julius Thomas, DEN - ankle, unknown seriousness, out 1-2 weeks
DE Ziggy Ansah, DET - ankle, unknown seriousness, unknown

Studs:

+33 WR Marvin Jones, CIN - Huh? Blind Squirrel / Nut if you ask me...
+30 WR Calvin Johnson, DET - it's about damn time, dude 
+25 WR Kenny Stills, NO - keep an eye on this kid, Brees needs someone to throw to!
+15 WR Golden Tate, SEA - another breakout game, could start a trend for him 
+13 RB Andre Ellington, ARI - may never happen again.  Just saying.
+11 to +12 WRs Dexter McCluster KC, Emmanuael Sanders PIT, Jordy Nelson GB and Josh Gordon CLE

Duds: 
QBs: 
RG3 got hurt 
Geno Smith played "meh," 
Tom Brady and Eli Manning both suffer from offensive issues and lack of talented targets.
RBs: 
Marshawn Lynch SEA - surprisingly bad matchup, won't happen again 
Steven Jackson ATL - back to the bench you go... still not over the hamstring injury 
Lesean McCoy PHI - he blames mental errors for lack of performance, says it won't happen again.  Uh-huh. Yeah. Right.
TEs: 
-10 Tony Gonzalez ATL 
-9 Jason Witten DAL 
-8 Rob Gronkowski NE 
All three of these guys are proven fantasy players. I'm chalking this up to a bad week. And crossing my fingers....

Respectfully submitted,
Cleveland Kate

Friday, October 25, 2013

Cheat Sheets: #4 OSU vs Penn State

Welcome to the fourth edition of The OSU Cheat Sheet - a look at the upcoming opponent, what they bring to the field, what players could give OSU trouble. This way, you'll know what names to watch for on Saturday and what parts of the game could cause the Buckeyes some problems.  

Hope this helps your enjoyment of another OSU victory.  O-H!

Penn State Nittany Lions (4-2)

Penn State is coming off of an Overtime win against Michigan and a Bye Week. They are more than prepared for the Buckeyes. In fact, after the Michigan game, QB Christian Hackenberg was named the winner of the Capital One Cup Impact Performance of the Week. That simple sentence alone should tell you that the Penn State offense is going to give the Buckeyes everything they can handle and more.

Our defense has had some troubles in the past few weeks – and don’t get me started on bad tackling – but there is no room for error this week.  Players have to wrap up their assignments, hit them cleanly, stay in the game and handle their business.  This could easily turn into a repeat of 2005, a loss which made Penn State fans consider the Buckeyes to be their biggest rival. And that means the Lions will be fired up and on top of their game this week.

Their Offense:
 
#14 QB Christian Hackenberg has 1,672 yards and 11 TDs already this season, with only 6 INT’s in 226 passing attempts. He’s averaging nearly 280 yards per game hitting 12 different receivers. On the bright side, he’s got 33 rushing attempts for -67 yards so we don’t have to worry about that. 

#08 WR Allen Robinson is the biggest receiving threat the Lions have. He’s got 43 catches for 705 yards and 5 TDs, averaging nearly 120 per game.

#85 TE Allen Felder comes in next with 22 catches for 232 yards. While #18 TE Jesse James and #87 TE Kyle Carter are also targets, anyone on the field is a possibility.

#28 RB Zack Zwinak, senior, is one of the best in the entire B1G and the toughest rusher the Buckeyes have faced this year. He’s got 402 yards on 92 attempts with 8 TDs.

#01 RB Bill Belton, junior, runs a close second to Zwinak. On just 70 carriers he’s racked up 387 yards and 3 TDs.


Their Defense:

With the departure of defensive coordinator Ted Roof, the defensive backs coach John Butler was promoted and so far has done a great job whipping this defense into shape and overcoming the loss of some great players since last season.

They’ve racked up 7 INTs and 4 Fumble recoveries, but aside from shutting out Kent State they’ve given up their share of points…. 40 to Michigan most recently.  #40 Glenn Carson LB and #91 DaQuan Jones DT lead the team in tackles and are their biggest threats.  

Penn State ranks 2nd in the B1G for Pass Defense but only 7th in defending the Rush which is a good thing since the Buckeyes RB Carlos Hyde will definitely be getting a workout tomorrow!

Respectfully Submitted,

Cleveland Kate


Browns vs Packers - what can I say?

Browns 13 Packers 31

My momma always said… if you can’t say something nice, don’t say anything at all. Well, that’s hard when you write about the Cleveland Browns. Ya’ll know I love my team but there was very little good on the field this week. So, since I can‘t find five positive things about this week’s game, how about I try five things that can definitely be improved during practice this week?  (I’m trying – I really am!)

This was one of those games that I had as a Loss before the season started, but I always have hope. Add the injuries to the Packers and I thought maybe, just maybe, we are playing them at the right time and we can come out of Green Bay with a win.  And for the second week in a row, the Browns turned a relatively unknown receiver - #11 Jarrett Boykin – into a fantasy football point scoring machine. Sigh.


Keeping things in perspective, however, we did come away healthy.  Thoughts and prayers to Jermichael Finley who suffered a spinal contusion in the game. Hope he recovers quickly and that he's ok.

For Kate’s  Five Takes, click this link: http://www.nflfemale.com/featured/finding-the-positive/

Respectfully Submitted,

Cleveland Kate

Wednesday, October 23, 2013

Fantasy Studs 'N Duds - Week 7

Each week I will give you any injury news I can find that may affect your FFL team. And I'll tell you who I think the Studs 'N Duds were. Two things to remember:  positions are QB RB WR & TE. I'm not bothering with Kickers or Defenses. Deal with it. As for the math, using a basic FFL scoring system that includes PPR, I'll tell you who really over shot their projected points and who really blew it. These are not necessarily the "hot" names in the NFL, but they are guys who the experts didn't expect to play this way and it could be a trend worth watching for both owners and waiver wire pickups.


Injuries:Where do I start?  It seems that every week guys are getting knocked out for the season. The QB situation across the league hasn't been pretty and WRs are also beginning to feel the pain.

QB Jay Cutler CHI: strained adductor magnus muscle (torn groin), 4 weeks min.
QB Sam Bradford STL: sprained knee (ACL), done for the year
RB Doug Martin TB: torn labrum (shoulder), 2-4 weeks (yeah, right)
RB Arian Foster HOU: strained hamstring, two weeks
RB DeMarco Murray DAL: Sprained knee (MCL), 2 weeks
WR Reggie Wayne IND: sprained knee (ACL), done for the year
TE Jermichael Finley GB: Spinal Contusion, unknown....

Bright side:  Calvin Johnson, Rob Gronkowski, CJ Spillar, Nick Foles, Percy Harvin are all either back or should be back this upcoming week.


Studs - (sadly, the Browns continue to turn average receivers into studs... sigh...)
TE Jordan Reed, Washington
+18 Roy Helu Jr., RB WAS: Where you been this season son?  Welcome back!
+18 Calvin Johnson, WR DET:  Injury. Officially. Healed.
+17 Vincent Jackson, WR TB: Proof that even crappy teams can have good FFL players
+16 Jordan Reed TE WAS: Um, who?  Exactly. Rookie TE out of Florida, he's been avg at best this season but saw 9 receptions for 134 yards and a TD this week. Might just become RG3's new favorite target.... 
+15 Harry Douglas, WR ATL: another guy who looks like a stud but really faced a crappy defense. Although, if he continues to play well, he might actually be worth the pickup.
+10 Jarrett Boykin, WR GB: so yeah, like I said, first DET Fauria and now Boykin. Perhaps you should look for the least familiar WR in KC this week and grab him... Cleveland is coming to town.  Oy.

Other notable Over-Achievers:Jeremy Kerley WR NYJ, Brandon Gibson WR MIA, and Mike Brown WR Jax.

Duds - Sigh (I have three of these guys on my team)
-14 DeSean Jackson WR PHI: I got nothing.
-13 Adrian Peterson RB MIN: Dude... you are making FFL owners crazy! 
-11 Josh Gordon WR CLE: Bad QB, we'll see if Jason Campbell can find Flash this week
-10 Bilal Powell RB NYJ: Close game with NE means no rushing... he'll bounce back
-09 Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI: Week after week he's just not right. I'm dropping him.
-09 Tony Gonzalez TE ATL: Rumors of possible retirement and trade back to Chiefs killed whatever production Grampa Gonzo was getting. Hope he turns it around. Soon.


Respectfully Submitted,
Cleveland Kate

Friday, October 18, 2013

Cheat Sheets: #4 OSU at Iowa

Today marks the third Cheat Sheet in the series - a look at the upcoming opponent, what they bring to the field, what players could give OSU trouble. This way, you'll know what names to watch for on Saturday and what parts of the game could cause the Buckeyes some problems.  

Hope this helps your enjoyment of another OSU victory.  O-H!

Iowa Hawkeyes (4-2)

After losing the season opener to Northern Illinois 30-27, the Hawkeyes went on a four game winning steak only to lose in week six to Michigan State, 26-14. They also had a Bye last week to prepare for the trip to Columbus to face the Buckeyes, game starting around 3:36 pm EST. While the Buckeyes should be up for this challenge, the defense better pay attention. Iowa has scored between 23 and 59 points in their victories this year so their offense has some power.

Some folks are calling this a "Trap Game." No way. Head Coach Urban Meyer and the rest of the staff know exactly what they are in for this week. They've had extra time to prepare, just like Iowa, and I don't believe for a second they are looking past the Hawkeyes or treating this game like an easy win. There are NO easy victories in football. They all come with a price. Let's hope the Buckeyes paid the price during the last two weeks of practice.

Their Offense:
They've put up 28, 27, 59 and 23 points in wins this season, largely in the air. 

#15 QB Jake Rudock, Sophmore, is a passing threat. He's got 1,200+ yards this season, a 60% completion record, with 8 TDs / 6 INTs. Two of those INT's came in their last game, a loss to Michigan State. He's also got 5 rushing TDs so he's not afraid to scramble out of the pocket, run the ball and take the game into his own hands.

#11 WR Kevonte Martin-Manley, Junior, has seen the most targets this season with 26 receptions for 225 yards. 

#22 WR Damond Powell, Junior, only has 6 targets but he's cranked up 225 yards, with a long of 74. He's the deep threat to watch out for.

#86 Fiedorowicz and #17 Hillyer don't have many yards but have been hit for two TDs each.

#45 RB Mark Weisman, Junior, has 126 carrier for 624 yards and three TDs. While not flashy, he's plowing his was to a five yards-per-carry average and he gets enough done to setup play action.

They've got six other players who average four yards or better per carry. That indicates an offensive line that knows how to block and protect. 


Their Defense:
They've got 9 interceptions... NINE.... with two getting taken back for TDs. This is the big threat to OSU. With shaky play recently from QB Braxton Miller, turnovers are Iowa's best shot at winning this game. Now, they've only got one sack this year. That tells me they won't be putting pressure on Brax, but when you've got four different guys with INTs, well, they'll just sit back and wait for their chance to get the ball.  Names to watch: #19 Lowery DB, #44 Morris LB, #5 Miller DB and #20 Kirksey LB. I'm hoping we don't hear those names on Saturday because if we do, we got troubles.

Respectfully Submitted,

Cleveland Kate

Wednesday, October 16, 2013

Fantasy Studs 'N Duds - Week 6

Each Tuesday (yeah, I'm a day late this week. Sorry), I will give you any injury news I can find that may affect your FFL team. And I'll tell you who I think are the Studs 'N Duds. Two things to remember:  positions are QB RB WR & TE. I'm not bothering with Kickers or Defenses. Deal with it. As for the math, using a basic FFL scoring system that includes PPR, I'll tell you who really over shot their projected points and who really blew it. These are not necessarily the "hot" names in the NFL, but they are guys who the experts didn't expect to play this way and it could be a trend worth watching for both owners and waiver wire pickups.

Injuries: Brace yourself – it’s going to get UGLY!
WR Green Bay Randall Cobb & James Jones – both left game on Sunday and it doesn’t look good for Aaron’s receiving corps.

RB Demarcus Ware DAL - quad... hasn't missed a game since 2005 but I'm thinking he misses this week.
  
WR Stevie Johnson BUF – still hurt, they keep projecting him as a “game time decision” but clearly he’s not ready

WR Calvin Johnson DET – played, but not 100%. Heck, maybe not even 50%.

WR Danny Amandola & TE Rob Gronkowski NE – Danny is hurt again and, well, listen, I don’t know what is going on between Gronk and The Hoodie, but I wouldn’t start him in FFL until I actually see him get into a game.

WR Mike Williams TB and WR Jerricho Cotchery PIT – if you have either of these guys, I just have one question… WHY???

Studs 

+25 Vernon Davis, TE SF – Welcome back to the NFL, V-Man! 8 catches on 11 targets for 180 yards and 2 TDs!  NICE!

+16 Riley Cooper, WR PHI – Riley becoming a favorite target of QB Nick Foles with 4 receptions for 120 yards and a TD.

 +15 Vincent Jackson, WR TB  - yes, even without Josh Freeman, The Bucs are finding ways to move the football. QB Mike Glennon and VJacks hooked up 9 times for 114 yards and 2 tds!

Other notable improvements: These guys have been underperforming this season but seem to be back on track now:
  • Brandon Jacobs, RB NYG +15
  • Stevan Ridley, RB NE +15
  • Knowshon Moreno, RB DEN +14
  • Marshawn Lynch, RB SEA+14
  • Justin Blackmon, WR JAC +12
  • Brandon LaFell, WR CAR +12

Duds

-12 Torrey Smith, WR BALT – yes I dislike the Ravens but that doesn’t influence the fact that Joe Flacco can’t seem to find Torrey Smith anywhere.
-10 Dez Bryant, WR, and -8 Jason Wittern, TE  DAL – overall a bad week for Dallas players.
-9 Trent Richardson, RB IND – Fantasy Owners need to give up on Trent. The thought that he just might have a break out week has been going on for six weeks now and no sign of anything… Sigh.
-9 Ray Rice, RB BALT – their offense has issues and Ray hasn’t been right since the injury. Just saying.
-8 Victory Cruz, WR NYG – he’s dead to me. I’m done. Enough is enough already. You can hold on to him if you want but I give up.
-7 Alshon Jeffery, WR CHI – ok so maybe his projected value was over-estimated based on his awesome week 5 performance… hold on to him but be cautious once the bye-weeks are over.
-7 Antonio Gates, TE SD – they are still finding their rhythm so be patient. Antonio will get his eventually. 


That’s it for me this week.... feel free to send me questions via twitter @ClvlndK8!
Respectfully Submitted,
Cleveland Kate

Sunday, October 13, 2013

Browns Fans: Reevaluate your expectations!

If you are a level-headed football fan and can see that the entire Cleveland Browns team shares in the blame for today's 31-17 loss to the Detroit Lions, Thanks and Congrats!  You can go on with your life and just skip this blog.  HOWEVER, if you want Brandon Weeden to be traded, cut, terminated immediately; if you think he is the only reason we lost the game; if you think he's the worst QB to ever play the game, then you, my friend, are the intended audience for this blog and need a dose of Cold. Hard. Facts.

What did you think the Browns were going to do this year?  The most optimistic predictions I heard in the pre-season ranged around the 8-8 mark.... hoping to avoid double-digit losses and make some progress over last year. With the 2014 NFL Draft promising somewhere between 5-11 NFL ready QBs, we just wanted to get through the season and get the franchise QB that every fan dreams about. Even the trade of Trent Richardson after Week 2 was billed as being a way to help us get that QB. No one thought this team would win the division or make the playoffs and no one, me included, thought that BW was our future. What changed?

Brandon Weeden is who we thought he was as a QB. He has skills, and if he can "manage the game" (meaning don't make any mistakes!) we'll be ok. We have a great defense, a solid punt returner named Travis Benjamin, a true #1 WR in Josh "Flash" Gordon and a great pair of TE's in Jordan Cameron and Gary Barnidge. Plus WRs Davone Bess and Greg Little have been good. The addition of RB Willis McGahee is even turning out to be ok. This team won't be blowing the doors off the competition but surely they can be .500.

And yet today my twitter timeline is full of folks calling for Brandon's head, screaming that he can't lead us to the playoffs, that he can't make the big plays, take this team onto his shoulders like Tom Brady or Peyton Manning and lead that last-minute, game-winning drive. Well, who said he could? Today's stupid INT that killed a promising drive seemed to take the air out of the team and I understand being frustrated. But to say that's the only reason we lost? Come on! Did we watch the same game?  I listened to the game when it was on and just finished watching it on my DVR and here's what I've come up with...

You don't want to see the stats because they mean nothing, right?  Like first downs: Lions 24 Browns 23. Like total offensive yards: Lions 366 Browns 395.  Like passing completions: Lions 25/43 Browns 26/43. How about rushing: Lions 28 for 118 yards, Browns 21 for 126 yards. Well. If stats mean nothing, lets look at game situations....

  • Turnovers:  Lions 1 Browns 2.  Fair point. Lions got 7 points as a result of a turnover.
  • Time of Possession: Folks are claiming the defense was gassed because of how much time they spent on the field. Hmmm. Let's look at ToP by Half.  First half was pretty balanced but second half:  Lions 19:25 Browns 10:35. Ouch. Fair point. Yet how tired was defense when they gave up these TDs?
    • First Quarter: Score is 0-0. Second Lions drive of the first quarter, they start on their 42, move the ball down the field. A pass interference penalty gives them the ball on the 7 yard line. A second PI penalty gives them the ball on the 1. And then touch down Lions.
    • Third Quarter: Score is 17-7. First Lions drive of the third quarter, they start on their own 21, move the ball down the field. Reggie Bush breaks a run for 39 yards, and later catches a pass for 18 yards and a Touch Down. How tired was the Browns defense if this was the first Lions possession of the second half?  Score 17-14.
  • Field Position. In the first half, Browns had six offensive possessions, two started from their own 26 - scored on both. Started the other four at the 20 or worse and scored once. In the second half, Browns also had six offensive possessions but never started a drive any closer than their own 20. Credit Lions kicker for keeping them in the end zone and not allowing a run-back but still... let's look at the 2nd half drives:
    • First drive: punted on 4th and 1, drive contained a -5 yard penalty
    • Second drive: punted on 4th and 4, no McGahee rush attempts
    • Third drive: punted on 4th and 19 after Weeden got sacked
    • Forth drive: punted on 4th and 12, drive contained -15 in penalties and a Greg Little incompletion that I still think should have been a catch.
    • Fifth drive: moved ball 40 yards and was starting to click when Weeden threw an ugly INT
    • Sixth drive: moved ball 86 yards - including overcoming another sack - when they just ran out of time.
OK - that 4th quarter interception when we were only down by 7 really leaves a bad taste in Browns Fan's mouths and it's easy to see why Weeden gets all the blame for the loss. And he should take some of the blame. I'm not saying he shouldn't. All I am saying is that poor defense, bad penalties, crappy field position also contributed to the mess that was the second half. And I'm asking you to try and see that while Brandon absolutely made mistakes, that doesn't mean he shouldn't start another game.  His first half was really good, the whole team played well, everything clicked, and the score at half-time showed that.  I have no idea what happened when they came out to start the second half but frankly, it was like a different team came out onto the field. 

And part of me blames Brian Hoyer and the AFC North. After only 2 games, we all got caught up in the story of the Local Kid who gets to live his dream by starting for the Browns. And we anointed him the Second Coming of Bernie Kosar. Add to that the fact that the Steelers were 0-4 and the Ravens/Bengals were not looking dominant or impressive, well, Browns fans started to "Up the Ante" on this team. And that just isn't fair. Heck, if we take a close look at the teams we beat this year so far, well, two of them just aren't good. 

Bottom line:  THIS TEAM IS WHO WE THOUGHT THEY WERE. They are a .500 team with some very talented pieces. I understand the mentality that the QB is responsible for everything that happens on the field. As the team Leader, it's his job to take the blame. But as fans, we are responsible to take a good hard look at our team and see them for who and what they really are. A lot of work was done in the off-season on the defense and it shows.  We need more work on the offense. We need to be patient as fans and stop reacting with anger and craziness when they let us down. We need to manage our expectations.  Heck, we travel to Green Bay and Kansas City for the next two weeks. It's going to get harder before it gets easier. 

But 8-8 is absolutely possible.  We have Jacksonville once and Pittsburgh twice this year.  That would give us 6 wins.  We might be able to get a couple more. Who knows? But I still have faith in this Team. I have faith that the ability Brandon Weeden showed in the first half can be extended into the second half of a game. That the other problems we have can be corrected.

Because for two quarters today, football was fun.  The Cleveland Browns were a Real NFL Team. 

Respectfully Submitted,

Cleveland Kate